Browsing all articles tagged with Chancellor
May
25

German Economy to Pick up Although Fall Short of Traditional Pace

Germany’s economy will recuperate from a bout of winter weakness however fall well short of the dynamic growth rates of previous years as euro zone recession and global slowdown stunt investment and exports.

There are homegrown problems too. What hue of government will result from September elections is injecting doubts and foreign investors cite worries regarding over-regulation and Germany’s future energy mix after Chancellor Angela Merkel turned her back on nuclear power.

Europe’s paymaster was long flexible to the euro debt crisis but contracted at the end of previous year and only eked out meager growth in the first quarter.

The Bundesbank stated this week a solid second quarter recovery was in prospect. Construction is expected to bounce back following a harsh winter and private consumption will grow thanks to low unemployment inflation-busting wage boost and low interest rates.

Although even the government forecasts just 0.5 percent growth in 2013 and economists doubt German companies will start investing heavily in the short term.

Christoph Schmidt, head of the German Council of Economic Experts, nobody expects strong growth for this year now particularly as the first quarter was so sobering, advisors to the government known as the wise men.

The economy grew just 0.1 percent in the first quarter following shrinking 0.7 percent in the previous three months of 2012.

Schmidt said trade will not contribute much, it could even drag on growth so that leaves domestic demand, private consumption is comparatively stable however investments are restrained and the key question will be when and how much they pick up.

Apr
19

German Court to Hear Case Against ESM, ECB bond-buying in June

Germany’s Constitutional Court said on Friday that it would hold a public hearing on complaints against the euro zone’s bailout fund the European Stability Mechanism, and the European Central Bank’s bond buying program on June 11 and 12.

The seven complaints in total, reflect German unease regarding the mounting costs of dealing with the three year debt crisis and fears that the ECB bond buying program may violate the taboo against direct central bank financing of state budgets.

The court based in Karlsruhe southwestern Germany, ruled in a preliminary verdict previous September that the ESM did not violate German law and could go further on, while it insisted on veto rights for the German parliament.

The ECB has not yet trigger the program as struggling euro zone states, previously implementing tough austerity measures, are reluctant to recognize the onerous conditions of the program, however the pledge alone has been enough to bring down their borrowing costs over recent months.

Gunnar Beck, constitutional law expert said he did not expect Karlsruhe to support the complaints, given its precedent record on not blocking moves towards European integration, despite the legal worries over the bond buying program.

There is no doubt that the EU contract, rule out bond purchases whenever they might facilitate state financing through the printing press and permit indebted states to obtain enhanced rates than they would otherwise.

There is no significant precedent where the German constitutional court has directly challenged the German government over an issue of European policy.

He added, I have no doubt the court will present to the government’s wishes in one form or another when it comes to the ECB bond purchases.

Political analysts say a decision is unlikely earlier than Germany’s September election when Chancellor Angela Merkel, her popularity enhanced by what voters see as her competent handling of the euro zone crisis is expected to win a third four year term.

Mar
16

Italy and France See Leeway on Budget Rules At EU Conference

Italy and France won support for a somewhat further growth friendly explanation of European Union budget rules at a meeting on Thursday following French President Francois Hollande challenged German driven fiscal austerity.

The 27 EU leaders agreed following discussion how to overcome recession and mass unemployment unleashed by three years of the euro zone’s sovereign debt crisis, to allow superior scope for public investment when reducing government deficits.

The potential’s presented by the EU’s existing fiscal framework to balance productive public investment requirements with fiscal discipline objectives can be exploited in the defensive arm of the Growth and Stability.

Exceptions would have to be permitted by the euro zone states and executive European Commission, however Italy’s and Hollande Europe minister drew support from what they depicted as a concession.

The Socialist French leader said that they were summiting their deficit reduction commitments however in a way that does not challenge our objective of growth.

He further said that’s the discussion that is now going to start with the Commission and the leadership we were given today permit us to approach this discussion with confidence.

Germany, the leading stickler for fiscal regulation, is worried that any straying from the course of deficit reduction will lift debt burdens and reignite financial market turmoil.

However Chancellor Angela Merkel avoided any clash with France, they made clear in a very consensual conversation that structural reforms, budget consolidation and growth are not in contradiction however are mutually reinforcing.

Hollande recognized this week that France’s budget deficit would strike 3.7 percent of GDP this year, omitted the 3 percent it had promised EU partners because of flat economy. That illustrate criticism from Germany’s central bank chief who stated French economic restructuring seemed to have floundered.

Dec
1

German lawmakers Approves Revised Bill on Greece Aid

German Parliament approved Greece’s current rescue package as Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble cautioned that a default in the country where the debt crisis started could generate the collapse of the single currency.

Schaeuble stated in a speech to the Bundestag in Berlin that the potential effects of a Greek default on other euro states would be critical in truth the penalty would be unpredictable. It could activate a process at the end of which the entire euro zone could break apart.

The channel caps a year in which Chancellor Angela Merkel has had to pack down criticism within her ranks over shifts to Greece and suppress calls to force out the country from the euro.

Officials in Merkel’s coalition and opposition leaders this week mention the agreement in Brussels to give Greece additional time to meet budget targets. The agreement met Germany’s condition on ruling out a debt write off for Greece that would be experience by creditor countries taxpayers.

Evaluating Greece with eastern Europe following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Schaeuble said crisis hostility efforts are working as European leaders drives through a new package designed to ease terms for bailout aid for Greece and help to resolve the three year old debt crisis.

Unemployment in the euro zone increased to 11.7 percent from 11.6 percent in this September, according to the European Union’s information office.

Schaeuble said that the Greek population has had to tolerate a heavy burden. However if the Greek people are prepared to carry the burden, we were ready to help.