Browsing all articles tagged with dollar
May
25

Gold Fall, however 2.15 percent Weekly Rise Biggest in a Month

Precious metal turned modestly lower on Friday as some players exited positions ahead of a long US weekend however registered its largest weekly percentage gain in a month, supported by a fall in stock markets and a softer US dollar.

Comments from a Federal Reserve official that dampened talk the US central bank is set to restrain monetary stimulus also underpinned yellow metal prices, which stuck to a fairly tight range.

Spot gold was down 0.23 percent at $1,387.51 per ounce by 2:37 EDT (1837 GMT), slightly lower than $1,390.40 late on Thursday. It remained up 2.15 percent on the week, its largest weekly rise since late April.

COMEX June gold futures closed at $1,386.6 per ounce, drop $5.2 or 0.37 percent and held about those levels in after-hours business.

Bullion got a boost this week from declining equity markets, which in Europe on Thursday posted their largest one day drop in nearly a year. On Friday, US stocks knock down for a third day, putting indexes on track for their first negative week since mid-April.

Robin Bhar, metals analyst at Societe Generale Group in London, a weaker greenback combined with continued QE, some physical buying at the lower levels out to China in particular all of those factors have helped precious metal in the last few days.

QE refers to quantitative easing, or the Federal Reserve’s program of buying almost $85 billion per month in debt to keep US interest rates low and stimulate the economy.

The US dollar extended its decline against the yen and was on track for its largest weekly loss in three years against the Japanese currency. The euro climbed 0.7 percent this week against the dollar its first weekly addition in three periods.

During the US session, precious metal ventured into negative regions with some players reluctant to hang onto a long gold position over the extended Memorial Day weekend in the US, given the newest uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy.

Speculation the Fed would scale back its monetary easing program evaluate on yellow metal this week after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke stated the central bank could start scaling back its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases in the next few meetings.

But, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard stated on Friday that US inflation would have to pick up before he voted to scale back stimulus.

Bhar said there’s a lot of uncertainty, there’s still no better than 50/50 chance that the Fed will unwind its stimulus or that the economy performs as they expect it will.

May
18

Gold Drop Further in Longest Losing Streak in Four Years

Precious metal knock down on Friday for a seventh straight session, in its greatest losing streak since March 2009 because the dollar strengthened and investors cut exposure to the gold fearing further drops and choosing equities instead.

Yellow metal has lost almost 6 percent of its value in the six sessions through Thursday as stocks added on the back of strong US economic statistics and on fears the Federal Reserve could end its bullion friendly bond buying program.

Spot gold was losing 0.34 percent at $1,380.91 per ounce by 0538 GMT, having plunge to a four-week low of $1,369.29 on Thursday as renewed liquidation in precious metal’s ETFs and a recent drop below the $1,400 per ounce level spooked investors.

The gold is down 17 percent for the year and is on track for its worst weekly turn down in a month. Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s major gold-backed exchange-traded fund, knock down to their lowest in four years.

Traders and dealers said Physical demand was also quiet on Friday as consumers in the largest gold buyers, China and India, wait for prices to stabilize or fall further.

Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd in Singapore said many people are waiting on the sidelines as they are expecting another fall.

Demand in India is being hurt by central bank curbs on gold imports. Limits on bank batch have hit supply and triggered a sharp jump in premiums.

Indian gold futures chop down 1.5 percent on Thursday, extending losses for a second straight session to their lowest level in almost a month in line with global markets.  Lan said buying in India had plunge considerably from Monday, which saw the celebration of Akshaya Tritiya, considered an auspicious day to buy metal.

Premiums for gold bars in Hong Kong the main supply of gold for China, strike record highs this week on supply constraints.

Yellow metal demand knock down 13 percent to a three year low of 963 tonnes in the first quarter because rising jewelery demand and strong appetite for coins and bars failed to offset a sharp fall in investment, the World Gold Council says.

SPDR said holdings knock down 0.55 percent to 1041.42 tonnes on Thursday, the weakest in four years.

US gold future for June delivery was down 0.52 percent at $1,379.70 per ounce.

May
11

Precious Metal Fall 1.5 percent on US Dollar Gain, Posts Weekly Plunge

Yellow metal knock down almost 1.5 percent on Friday as a sharp increased in the US dollar against the Japanese yen triggered technical selling, sending the metal to a two-week low.

Bullion slip for a second consecutive day as the yen plummeted to its weakest against the US dollar in more than four years on Friday, a day following the US currency climbed above the 100-yen level. The US dollar rally also weighed on industrial commodities led by crude.

Gold posted a weekly fall of almost 2.5 percent as continued outflows in gold-backed exchange-traded funds more than offset strong physical retail demand following yellow metal’s historic selloff in mid-April.

Precious metal’s sharp losses previous month has intensified a disconnect among funds that sold on dissatisfaction over gold’s under performance and individual investors who could not get sufficient physical gold coins and bars at bargain prices.

Miguel Perez-Santalla, vice president of BullionVault, an online physical gold and silver market it’s all about the greenback strength, that’s where all the fast money is going. He said, I believe this is another opportunity for physical buyers.

Spot gold knocks down as much as 2.5 percent to a low of $1,420.60 per ounce earlier in the session. It was down 1.3 percent at $1,438.51 per ounce by 2:28 p.m. (1828 GMT)

US Comex division gold futures for June delivery settled down $32 at $1,436.60 per ounce, with trading volume almost 10 percent over its 30-day average.

Carlos Sanchez, director of commodities and asset management at CPM Group said yellow metal accelerated losses following sell-stops were triggered below technical support at $1,450 per ounce.

Gold’s failure to break above a $40 trading range in the precedent two weeks suggested sentiment remains weak following the metal plunged to $1,321.35 an ounce on April 16, its lowest in more than two years.

May
4

Job Market Resilience Eases Growth Concerns

Employment rose at a quicker pace than expected in April and hiring was much stronger than formerly thought in the prior two months, a sign of flexibility that should help the economy absorb the blow from belt tightening in Washington.

Labor Department said on Friday,non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 jobs previous month and the unemployment rate dropped to 7.5 percent, the lowest level since December 2008. The job counts for February and March were revised up by a net 114,000.

Scott Anderson, chief economist at Bank of the West in San Francisco said that this boosts the case that the US economy will be able to survive the joint headwinds of sequestration and a deepening recession in Europe.

Investors on Wall Street cheered the statistics, which beat economists’ expectations for a 145,000 jobs advance and a steady 7.6 percent reading on the unemployment rate.

US stocks rallied, with the Dow Jones industrial average and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index closing at record highs. The US dollar vaulted to a one week high against the yen, however Treasury debt prices tumbled.

Payrolls climbed by 138,000 jobs in March, 50,000 more than formerly reported, and job growth for February was revised up by 64,000 to 332,000, the largest growth since May 2010.

However the gains previous month were far below the 206,000 jobs per month average of the first quarter, the newest evidence the economy is cooling even if not as rapidly as earlier feared.

Construction employment dropped for the first time since May and manufacturing payrolls were flat. The length of the average workweek pulled off a nine  month high and a gauge of the overall work effort knock down.

Economists pin the slowdown mainly on higher taxes that took hold at the start of the year and $85 billion in federal government spending cuts known as the sequester, that went into effect at the start of March. Economies overseas have also weakened cutting into US export growth.

However the US economy grew at a 2.5 percent annual pace in the first quarter, statistics on construction spending, retail sales and trade suggested it ended the period with less speed.

May
1

Yellow Metal Edges Down, Investors Cautious Ahead of Fed

Yellow metal ticked lower on Wednesday on a shortage of physical buying and as investors waited to see if the US Federal Reserve sticks to its stimulus programme to spur the economy, which may lift the metal’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.

Doubts that central banks money printing to buy assets will stoke inflation have been a key driver in boosting precious metal, which rallied to an 11-month high previous October following the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus.

The Fed’s policy making committee ends its conference later in the day with a statement that could reflect recent weak economic statistics. Investors also await Friday’s non-farm payrolls data which will signal the longer term predictions for the Fed’s monetary stimulus.

Edward Meir, a metals analyst at futures brokerage INTL FCStone said that accommodative policies are generally seen as supportive for bullion, however as the events of the last few weeks have demonstrated, gold does not always move in lockstep with simple expansion in money supply.

In its place, it seems to pick up steam either as a result of disorder in the financial markets or on the back of higher inflation readings, neither of which seem to be dominant at this particular time.

Gold dropped $1.89 per ounce to $1,474.71 by 0602 GMT, with the market torn between expectations that the Fed will keep its current policy and daily outflows from exchange traded funds, as investors cut their exposure.

US gold futures for June delivery stood at $1,474.20 per ounce added $2.10.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold backed exchange traded fund, said its holdings dropped 0.19 percent to 1078.54 tonnes on Tuesday, their lowest since September 2009.

However gold has recovered more than half of its $225 loss incurred among April 12 and 16, boosted by strong physical demand, especially in top gold consumers China and India.

The longer term trend has been broken to the downside. This fact is important as in a downtrend the default move of a price is lower in the absence of convincing fundamentals. With fundamentals only neutral, we think certain risk still persists.

Credit Suisse in a report said that with investment flows negative however monetary policy supportive, we consider a neutral fundamental rating is the most appropriate one. In contrast to neutral fundamentals, technical indicators are clearly negative.

Singapore and Hong Kong were closed for a holiday. A rush in buying of gold bars following the recent plunge in prices has led to tight physical supply in Asia.

In other markets, the US dollar eased on Wednesday as investors warily awaited the result of the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, although expectations the European Central Bank will cut interest rates on Thursday capped the euro.

Apr
29

Precious Gold Rises 1 percent, Holds near One Week High

Yellow metal rose more than 1 percent on Monday and held near its highest level in more than a week as a bounce back in prices from multi-year lows failed to control investor appetite for the gold’s, leading to a shortage in physical supply.

Current bleak US growth statistics that raised expectations the Federal Reserve will keep its current pace of bond buying at $85 billion a month also supported precious metal that is typically seen as a hedge against inflation.

However investors are still roiled by the very recent event of the tumble. The question is how supportable is this physical buying as at the same time, we are still seeing funds flowing out of yellow metal. Retail investors won’t be buying bullion in hundreds of millions of dollars like the funds.

Both cash gold and futures dropped to around $1,321 on April 16, their weakest in over two years, subsequently drop below $1,500 sparked a sell-off that encouraged investors to slash their holdings on exchange traded funds. They touched an 11 day high above $1,484 on Friday.

I don’t consider gold is out of the woods yet, however there’s room for upward correction. One of the reasons why precious metal has plunged so much was the strong signs of US economic recovery.

US gold futures which often give trading cues to cash metal, hit a high of $1,472.20 per ounce. By 0226 GMT, prices stood at $1,469.60 climbed $16.00. Spot gold gain $7.51 per ounce to $1,470.01.

Premiums for gold bars have jumped to multi-year highs in Asia as of strong demand from the physical market, which has led to a shortage in gold coins, bars, nuggets and other products.

In other markets, shares in Asia crept ahead on Monday however the US dollar lost ground to the yen as markets braced for a busy week for economic statistics and central bank policy meetings in the United States and euro zone.

Holdings on the biggest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund ETF, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust continue to drop, which was a sign investors have yet to reinstate their confidence in gold. The holdings are currently at their lowest since September 2009.

The current string of underwhelming statistics will strengthen the hand of the doves at the Fed and temper any talk of tapering back the bond buying programme. The policy setting Federal Open Market Committee will announce its decision at 1815 GMT on Wednesday.

Report by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday that yellow metal rallied to an 11-month high in October previous year after the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus, raising fears the central bank’s money printing to buy assets would stoke inflation, money managers and Hedge funds trimmed their net longs in gold futures and options in the week to April 23 as investors reduced optimistic bets.

 

Apr
25

Gold Rise to 1 Week High, Central Bank Purchases Hold up

Bullion climbed to its highest in more than a week on Thursday, enhanced by prospects of more central bank buying following a recent steep sell off in the gold, as a firmer euro also underpinned prices.

Turkey and Russia raised their gold reserves in March, the International Monetary Fund stated on Wednesday raising their holdings ahead of the spectacular plunge in prices this month that shocked ardent yellow metal investors and bulls.

Central bank purchases and surging physical demand helped precious metal bounce from a two year trough about $1,321 per ounce hit previous week. However daily outflows from exchange-traded funds, reflecting sagging investor confidence capped gains.

Gold reversed early losses and stood at $1,445.56 per ounce by 0621 GMT, climbed $14.76. It strike a high of $1,447.66 per ounce earlier in the session its loftiest since April 15 the day it posted its largest ever daily slump in dollar terms.

Bullion is torn between an increase in demand for jewellery and coins, and investors in ETFs cutting exposure because they became gradually more convinced the US Federal Reserve will look to end its bullion friendly bond buying programme by the end of 2013 or beginning of 2014.

Joyce Liu, an investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore said if the price breaks above $1,447-$1,450 levels, there will be more upward momentum. If it does not we may see a further dip in precious metal prices.

Premiums for gold bars soared to multi year highs in Asia following a spate of physical buying ran down supplies, with dealers in top consumer India expecting a surge in imports this month.

Holdings of the greatest gold backed ETF, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust slump 0.38 percent on Wednesday from Tuesday, their lowest since late 2009.

Dealer in Singapore said strong physical buying in China is overflowing into Hong Kong. I heard if you have gold bars now people will buy them at $2.50 to $3.00 premiums.

US gold for June delivery climbed more than 1 percent to as high as $1,447.50, its largest since April 15, however some dealers cautioned the current rebound in cash and gold futures was far from sustainable.

Gold futures rise on Thursday in electronic trade, on track for a second consecutive proceed supported by strengthening physical demand for the gold and downbeat US economic figures.

Apr
24

Gold Plunge on Stronger US Greenback, ETF outflows

Yellow metal knock down more than 1 percent on Tuesday as a stronger US dollar put pressure on prices and as the outflow from the world’s leading gold exchange-traded fund known as ETF accelerated and accentuated an investor shift towards equities and other assets.

At the midsession, bullion along with markets in stocks, oil, bonds and other commodities, was roiled temporarily by a bogus report of explosions at the White House. Bullion pulled up off its lows on the fake report.

The early turn down retraced some of gold’s 1.6 percent rally from a day earlier, which was encouraged by strong physical purchases.

Heraeus Precious Metals Management metals trader David Lee said that he believe the whole commodities space came off because of the weak PMI out of Europe and the weak PMI out of China, particularly Germany. That combination is dragging everything from silver to copper to platinum and palladium down. And yellow metal is going down in sympathy as it’s part of the basket.

Traders stated gold prices chop down to session lows in overnight dealings when the US dollar firmed in reaction to weaker April manufacturing statistics from both Germany and China, and then lingered at the lower levels.

Shortly following 1 p.m. (1700 GMT), precious metal prices pulled up off their lows, US government debt prices surged briefly and stocks knock down sharply following a false tweet from the Associated Press stated there had been two explosions at the White House and that President Barack Obama had been injured.

Gold knock down 1.4 percent to a session low of $1,405.44 per ounce and had pared losses to $1,412.70 by 3:14 EDT (1914 GMT), off 0.87 percent. Precious metal has dropped 15 percent this year.

US gold futures for June delivery were losing 0.61 percent at $1,412.30 per ounce.

Traders said gold’s retreat off the one week high it reached a day earlier reproduce investor nervousness regarding holding on to precious metal positions for long. Many yellow metal bulls were caught by surprise a week ago when bullion slid to its biggest-ever daily loss in Greenback terms.

Gold was also under pressure from a strong dollar and bounce back of equity markets following sales of new US single family homes climbed in March, indicating the housing market recovery remains on track.

Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said that bullion is lower as well as other commodities, including base metals oil and crude, which knock down following weaker than expected economic data out of China and Europe, which gave a boost to the dollar.

In other markets, copper knock down to an 18-month low and crude oil was down nearly 1 percent because data revealed a slowdown in business activity in Germany and China in April. The figures heightened worries over global growth.

Apr
23

Precious Gold Gives up Early Gainss, off 1-week high

Yellow metal reversed early gains on Tuesday, coming off a 1-week peak stroke in the previous session, because more outflows from gold exchange-traded funds known as ETFs summed up investors weakening confidence in the gold.

CIMB regional economist Song Seng Wun said that from a technical stand point, there are still downside risks to yellow metal prices. I suspect we have not actually seen the market turning around to be bullish in yellow metal prices just yet.

Investors were still thrashing their wounds following gold posted its greatest ever daily loss in dollar terms previous Monday in a brutal sell-off that surprised ardent precious metal investors and bulls.

However the recent sharp fall in prices and an uneven rebound has attracted buying interest in Asia, sending premiums for gold bars in Singapore to the greatest since 2008.

Gold smack a session high of $1,431.31 per ounce however gave up gains and stood at $1,416.26 by 0624 GMT, dropped $8.88.

Prices sank to about $1,321 on April 16, its lowest in more than 2 years. Precious metal has dropped around 15 percent this year.

US gold futures for June delivery stood at $1,415.40 per ounce, losing $5.80.

Physical buying persisted in Asia even though spot gold has bounce back more than $100 from previous week’s lows, keeping premiums for gold bars at multi month highs in Hong Kong and Singapore as supply also tightened for coins and other products.

Bullion has been caught in a tug-of-war among physical buyers seeking bargains and wary investors cutting exposure to the precious metal on nagging worries regarding central bank sales and prospects of easing inflation.

Singapore based dealer said that people are still buying yellow metal and India is coming in. However Thailand is slow as they are waiting for prices to come off again.

India, the world’s biggest gold consumer, celebrates Akshaya Tritiya, a key gold-buying festival coming month, as the wedding season will continue till early June. Indian parents give gold jewelery to their daughters at weddings as a custom.

Gold for June delivery knock down $5.30 or 0.4%, to $1,415.70 per ounce. In Asian trading, gold reached $1,426.40 per ounce, its highest level since April 12 according to FactSet data.

 

Apr
22

Precious Gold Ralled More Than 2 Percent on Technical Buying

Precious metal jumped more than 2 percent on Monday following a rebound over $1,400 ignited technical buying, however sentiment was wobbly as steady outflows from exchange traded funds trimmed their gold holdings to the lowest in three years.

Edward Meir, metals analyst at futures brokerage INTL FCStone said that it remains to be seen which of these offsetting forces ultimately wins out and exerts its influence over yellow metal prices.

The technical stance for gold, which has sink more than 15 percent so far this year, is yet to recover although the safe haven asset could find support from a rush in physical buying in Asia and other parts of the world.

Our guess is that the sharp bounce in retail buying will probably dominate and succeed in sending prices higher over the course of the coming week or two.

It posted its largest ever daily loss in US dollar terms previous Monday, shocking veteran investors who see bullion as portfolio protection against inflation and other market risks. Prices sank to almost $1,321 on April 16, its weakest in more than 2 years.

Spot gold added $16.21 per ounce to $1,420.06 by 0631 GMT following increasing as high as $1,427.20 per ounce.

Tim Riddell, head of ANZ Global Markets Research, Asia  said that the aggressiveness of the drop suggests that we are still in a consolidation rather in a reversal role. For me the $1,435 level is likely to provide resistance.

We actually need to get back into the $1,500s to say that there’s something more substantial taking place. The close over $1,400 may have taken the negative pressure out of percious metal in the near term. A close below that level will heighten the risks of new lows

Outflows on exchange traded funds could also point out that investors were parking their money somewhere else, although previous week’s trading statistics from the Unites States demonstrate that funds had injected new money into gold futures.

Gold had rallied to an 11-month high in October previous year following the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus, lifting fears the central bank’s money printing to buy assets would stoke inflation.

Hedge funds and money managers elevated their net longs in gold futures and options in the week to April 16, a report by Commodity Futures Trading Commission known as CFTC showed on Friday, because new money entered the market at lower prices.

 

US gold futures, which frequently dictate the spot market, strike a high of 1,427.3 per ounce climbed 2.3 percent from the previous close of 1,395.60 per ounce. The June delivery later stood at $1,419.80 added $24.20.