Browsing all articles tagged with ETF
May
18

Gold Drop Further in Longest Losing Streak in Four Years

Precious metal knock down on Friday for a seventh straight session, in its greatest losing streak since March 2009 because the dollar strengthened and investors cut exposure to the gold fearing further drops and choosing equities instead.

Yellow metal has lost almost 6 percent of its value in the six sessions through Thursday as stocks added on the back of strong US economic statistics and on fears the Federal Reserve could end its bullion friendly bond buying program.

Spot gold was losing 0.34 percent at $1,380.91 per ounce by 0538 GMT, having plunge to a four-week low of $1,369.29 on Thursday as renewed liquidation in precious metal’s ETFs and a recent drop below the $1,400 per ounce level spooked investors.

The gold is down 17 percent for the year and is on track for its worst weekly turn down in a month. Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s major gold-backed exchange-traded fund, knock down to their lowest in four years.

Traders and dealers said Physical demand was also quiet on Friday as consumers in the largest gold buyers, China and India, wait for prices to stabilize or fall further.

Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd in Singapore said many people are waiting on the sidelines as they are expecting another fall.

Demand in India is being hurt by central bank curbs on gold imports. Limits on bank batch have hit supply and triggered a sharp jump in premiums.

Indian gold futures chop down 1.5 percent on Thursday, extending losses for a second straight session to their lowest level in almost a month in line with global markets.  Lan said buying in India had plunge considerably from Monday, which saw the celebration of Akshaya Tritiya, considered an auspicious day to buy metal.

Premiums for gold bars in Hong Kong the main supply of gold for China, strike record highs this week on supply constraints.

Yellow metal demand knock down 13 percent to a three year low of 963 tonnes in the first quarter because rising jewelery demand and strong appetite for coins and bars failed to offset a sharp fall in investment, the World Gold Council says.

SPDR said holdings knock down 0.55 percent to 1041.42 tonnes on Thursday, the weakest in four years.

US gold future for June delivery was down 0.52 percent at $1,379.70 per ounce.

May
4

Precious Metal Ends Lower, Copper jumps 7% on US Jobs Data

Yellow metal futures finished with a modest loss on Friday as greater than expected US employment numbers dulled the gold’s safe-haven appeal.

For the week, bullion found support from the European Central Bank’s decision to cut interest rates and from strength in physical demand to end the week 0.7% advanced.

Precious metal for June delivery chop down $3.40 or 0.2%, to settle at $1,464.20 per ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Labor Department said on Friday that the US economy created a net 165,000 jobs in April. The figure surpassed the 135,000 prediction of economists. The rushing in hiring nudged the unemployment rate down to 7.5%, the lowest level since December 2008.

Right before the data’s release yellow metal prices were trading about $13 per ounce higher than Thursday’s close, then following the figures they fell to trade around $10 lower.

Copper futures rallied almost 7% for their biggest one day percent advance in over two and a half years, as the jobs statistics brightened demand prospects for the industrial metal.

The July silver contract added 18 cents, or 0.8%, to end at $24.01 per ounce, climbed 1% from a week ago.

Chintan Karnani, an independent bullion analyst based in New Delhi said that if hiring continues to increase at the current pace for the coming two to three months that would be bearish for safe havens like silver and gold.

He further said only the interest rate cut by the European Central Bank and firm physical gold demand in Asia are supporting gold prices.

Gold dealers reported impressive jumps in April precious metal sales.

Will Rhind, managing director of ETF Securities, a provider of physically backed gold ETFs including the ETFS Gold Trust stated request is mainly being seen by coin/bar merchants and gold dealers (bullion banks) that act on behalf of central banks and other great institutional physical players.

Copper for delivery in July jumped 21 cents or 6.8% to a three-week high of $3.315 a pound. It rose approximately 4% for the week.

 

May
2

Precious Metal Holds Near 1 week Low, ETFs Outflows Persist

Precious metal held near its weakest level in practically a week on Thursday, following declines in holdings of exchange traded funds, equities and other commodities overshadowed the US Federal Reserve’s decision to uphold its loose monetary policy.

Prices fall $225 per ounce between April 12 and 16 on fears of a withdrawal of the Fed’s monetary stimulus and after the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank asked Cyprus to sell reserves as part of a bailout deal.

While the Fed’s money-printing to buy assets could stoke inflation, yellow metal has been overwhelmed by fears of sales by central banks and a fall in global bullion ETF holdings to their lowest since September 2009.

However this is unlikely to be sold on the open market. I consider another central bank will be buying it. China’s physical demand is still strong. This morning they are perhaps keeping a lookout to see where the market is going before purchasing.

Precious metal fell $3.05 per ounce to $1,453.69, having shed more than 1 percent in the previous session its largest daily drop since gold’s historic decline in mid-April. It smash a low of $1,439.74 on Wednesday, the weakest since April 25.

Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd in Singapore said that people are more wary as yellow metal has been trading within the same trading band. Moreover, Europe has agreed on a loan deal for Cyprus, and one of the terms state that assets in bullion might be sold.

US gold for June delivery stood at $1,453.70 per ounce, climbed up $7.50.

In its statement subsequent a two-day meeting, the Fed reiterated it would carry on to buy $85 billion worth of bonds each month to support a moderately expanding economy that still has too high an unemployment rate.

Investors are now waiting for US non-farm payrolls report for April scheduled for release on Friday, which will signal the longer term predictions for the Fed’s monetary stimulus.

However instead of rallying on the news, yellow metal tracked other markets lower on renewed doubts over the Chinese and US economies following the latest economic data from both countries elevated doubts about the strength of the global economy.

The US economy is likely to have added 145,000 jobs.

March’s number chop down far short of expectations at 88,000, triggering a sell-off in riskier assets. Precious metal for June delivery added $9.70, or 0.7%, to $1,456 per ounce.

China’s factory sector growth eased in April as new export orders chop down for the first time this year, a private survey showed on Thursday, suggesting the euro zone slump and sluggish US demand may be risks to China’s economic recovery.

Apr
30

Precious metal Down 1 percent; ETF holdings hit lowest Since Sept 2009

Precious metal fell 1 percent on Tuesday, falling into negative territory following some early bargain hunting, however daily outflows from exchange traded funds highlighted investor’s lack of confidence in the gold.

Tim Riddell, head of ANZ Global Markets Research, Asia said that from a technical point of view, while the rebound has been relatively solid it appears to be a more sustained correction of the drop that we saw from late March rather than a turn in trend.

Although yellow metal’s appeal as a hedge against inflation may be burnished by hopes the US Federal Reserve will continue its bond buying programme, flowing stock markets could tempt investors to ditch gold and shift to equities.

Actually what we need to see is a series of closes above $1,505 to take the pressure off, he added that a fall below $1,435 could trigger a favored technical pullback to $1,300 and potentially even as deep as $1,245.

US gold for June delivery gave up early increases and stood at $1,461.10, down $6.30.

US gold futures and Cash dropped to almost $1,321 on April 16, their lowest in more than two years, after a fall below $1,500 led to a sell-off which stunned investors, and encouraged them to slash holdings of exchange-traded funds.

Precious metal fell $14.18 per ounce to $1,461.61 by 0617 GMT.  It had increased slightly on Monday on expectations the Fed would keep the pace of its bond buying unchanged at $85 billion a month following less than expected US growth.

The SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings dropped 0.22 percent to 1,080.64 tonnes on Monday from 1,083.05 tonnes on Friday to their lowest since September 2009.

A weak March employment report in the US and other softer signals from the economy seemed to kill off expectations the Fed could taper the pace of bond buying in next months.

Asian shares edged higher on Tuesday, a day after the S&P 500 index ended at an all-time high and as investor risk appetite was bolstered by expectations the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve the will continue with growth supportive monetary stimulus measures.

The Fed is currently buying longer dated US Treasuries and mortgage backed bonds every month and is expected to vote to keep doing so at the conclusion of a two day policy setting meeting on Wednesday.

Fears that central banks money printing to buy assets will stoke inflation have been a key driver in enhancing gold, which rallied to an 11-month high in October last year subsequently the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus.

Apr
25

Gold Rise to 1 Week High, Central Bank Purchases Hold up

Bullion climbed to its highest in more than a week on Thursday, enhanced by prospects of more central bank buying following a recent steep sell off in the gold, as a firmer euro also underpinned prices.

Turkey and Russia raised their gold reserves in March, the International Monetary Fund stated on Wednesday raising their holdings ahead of the spectacular plunge in prices this month that shocked ardent yellow metal investors and bulls.

Central bank purchases and surging physical demand helped precious metal bounce from a two year trough about $1,321 per ounce hit previous week. However daily outflows from exchange-traded funds, reflecting sagging investor confidence capped gains.

Gold reversed early losses and stood at $1,445.56 per ounce by 0621 GMT, climbed $14.76. It strike a high of $1,447.66 per ounce earlier in the session its loftiest since April 15 the day it posted its largest ever daily slump in dollar terms.

Bullion is torn between an increase in demand for jewellery and coins, and investors in ETFs cutting exposure because they became gradually more convinced the US Federal Reserve will look to end its bullion friendly bond buying programme by the end of 2013 or beginning of 2014.

Joyce Liu, an investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore said if the price breaks above $1,447-$1,450 levels, there will be more upward momentum. If it does not we may see a further dip in precious metal prices.

Premiums for gold bars soared to multi year highs in Asia following a spate of physical buying ran down supplies, with dealers in top consumer India expecting a surge in imports this month.

Holdings of the greatest gold backed ETF, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust slump 0.38 percent on Wednesday from Tuesday, their lowest since late 2009.

Dealer in Singapore said strong physical buying in China is overflowing into Hong Kong. I heard if you have gold bars now people will buy them at $2.50 to $3.00 premiums.

US gold for June delivery climbed more than 1 percent to as high as $1,447.50, its largest since April 15, however some dealers cautioned the current rebound in cash and gold futures was far from sustainable.

Gold futures rise on Thursday in electronic trade, on track for a second consecutive proceed supported by strengthening physical demand for the gold and downbeat US economic figures.

Apr
24

Gold Plunge on Stronger US Greenback, ETF outflows

Yellow metal knock down more than 1 percent on Tuesday as a stronger US dollar put pressure on prices and as the outflow from the world’s leading gold exchange-traded fund known as ETF accelerated and accentuated an investor shift towards equities and other assets.

At the midsession, bullion along with markets in stocks, oil, bonds and other commodities, was roiled temporarily by a bogus report of explosions at the White House. Bullion pulled up off its lows on the fake report.

The early turn down retraced some of gold’s 1.6 percent rally from a day earlier, which was encouraged by strong physical purchases.

Heraeus Precious Metals Management metals trader David Lee said that he believe the whole commodities space came off because of the weak PMI out of Europe and the weak PMI out of China, particularly Germany. That combination is dragging everything from silver to copper to platinum and palladium down. And yellow metal is going down in sympathy as it’s part of the basket.

Traders stated gold prices chop down to session lows in overnight dealings when the US dollar firmed in reaction to weaker April manufacturing statistics from both Germany and China, and then lingered at the lower levels.

Shortly following 1 p.m. (1700 GMT), precious metal prices pulled up off their lows, US government debt prices surged briefly and stocks knock down sharply following a false tweet from the Associated Press stated there had been two explosions at the White House and that President Barack Obama had been injured.

Gold knock down 1.4 percent to a session low of $1,405.44 per ounce and had pared losses to $1,412.70 by 3:14 EDT (1914 GMT), off 0.87 percent. Precious metal has dropped 15 percent this year.

US gold futures for June delivery were losing 0.61 percent at $1,412.30 per ounce.

Traders said gold’s retreat off the one week high it reached a day earlier reproduce investor nervousness regarding holding on to precious metal positions for long. Many yellow metal bulls were caught by surprise a week ago when bullion slid to its biggest-ever daily loss in Greenback terms.

Gold was also under pressure from a strong dollar and bounce back of equity markets following sales of new US single family homes climbed in March, indicating the housing market recovery remains on track.

Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said that bullion is lower as well as other commodities, including base metals oil and crude, which knock down following weaker than expected economic data out of China and Europe, which gave a boost to the dollar.

In other markets, copper knock down to an 18-month low and crude oil was down nearly 1 percent because data revealed a slowdown in business activity in Germany and China in April. The figures heightened worries over global growth.

Apr
20

Paulson’s Advantage Fund Hurt by Fall in Gold

Hedge fund billionaire John Paulson’s best-known fund losing 2.4 percent in April, mostly due to the sharp sell-off in precious metal. The Paulson & Co Advantage fund is making money for the year however just barely with a 1.3 percent addition.

Gold is one of the worst performing assets this year following rising mightily following the financial crisis. The precious metal has dropped 17 percent this year including a 13 percent fall in April alone.

The fund’s significant holdings in numerous gold mining stocks, including a bet on AngloGold Ashanti Ltd, which is losing 40 percent this year, have considerably cut into the Advantage fund’s returns.

The sharp fall appears to have caught a number of hedge fund managers like Paulson by surprise. Coming week he intends to update his clients regarding all of his funds, including a fund dedicated specially to investing in gold.

Shares of companies tied to the performance of yellow metal, including the SPDR Gold Trust the largest gold exchange traded fund also have plunged sharply. Financial information firm Markit said this year investors have pulled $10 billion out of the precious metal ETF as of Wednesday.

The fund manager, lionized following a big bet against the overheated housing market in 2007 that made golds for his investors, has floundered trying to replicate the success in recent years.

Paulson, who has made money on bullion up until this year, has long held firm to the view that inflation will ultimately rebound, making yellow metal a prudent hedge. However in the wake of the selloff the firm has sustained losses in the hundreds of millions of US dollars in several funds that invest in yellow metal.

Assets at his firm have slumped to $18 billion down from $38 billion in early 2011 due to redemptions and poor performance. Over the past two years the Advantage fund and a leveraged version of the fund have posted some of the most horrible numbers in the $2.2 trillion hedge fund industry.

At the end of the first quarter, the Advantage policy, which includes the two funds and managed accounts had almost $4.6 billion in assets.

Apr
17

Precious Metal Added Because Buyers Chase Gold

Gold shrugged off weakening US gold futures to jump as much as 1 percent on Wednesday as buyers snapped up precious metal, coins and nuggets following prices touched their lowest in more than two years the session before.

Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd in Singapore said people are essentially buying everything, gold bars and gold coins. People are hurrying to get a hand on it, we have a problem meeting the demand as we are unable to get new supply.

Yellow metal strike a session high of $1,381.80 per ounce and was standing at $1,370.84 by 0611 GMT, up $3.05. Gold fall to $1,321.35 on Tuesday, has dropped almost 18 percent so far this year following an unbroken 12-year string of gains.

However gold is not out of the woods yet because investors continued to shift holdings from exchange traded funds, even as the growth in physical buying led to a shortage of precious metal in Hong Kong and Singapore.

There’s a vast backlog, it’s the same for silver. So far sentiment seems to be improving even the price has more or less stabilized.

PDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold backed ETF stated its holdings knock down 0.73 percent to 1,145.92 tonnes on Tuesday from 1,154.34 tonnes on Monday. Holdings of global gold ETFs are currently at their weakest since late 2011.

The purchases pushed up premiums for precious metal in Singapore to their highest in 18 months at $1.70 per ounce to spot London prices, however demand from top consumer India was surprisingly low despite the wedding season.

Gold future for June delivery gave up $14.80 or 1%, to trade at $1,372 per ounce during Asian trading hours.

On Tuesday, gold climbed $26.30 or 1.9%, on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The advance followed two consecutive sessions of turn down which stripped prices of more than $200 per ounce.

Apr
5

Gold Float Near 10 month low, US payroll Statistics in focus

Yellow metal stable on Friday however held near its lowest since May previous year as investors waited for key US jobs data for more clues on the health of the world’s biggest economy, as a plunge in ETF holdings dragged on prices.

Investors will scrutinise on Friday’s US employment statistics for more signals on the strength of that economy. A strong report could damage precious metal safe haven appeal, making it easier for the US Federal Reserve to end stimulus measures that have made some investors worry regarding inflation in the world’s greatest economy.

Strong employment statistics could prompt the US Federal Reserve to end its gold friendly bond buying programme earlier than predictable and dent bullion’s safe haven appeal as worries concerning inflation.

Yellow metal was little changed at $1,553.56 per ounce by 0033 GMT, still heading for a second week of turn down. It knock down to 1,539.74 on Thursday, its weakest in 10 months, because unprecedented monetary stimulus from the Bank of Japan and expectation’s for another European Central Bank rate cut failed to stem heavy selling.

US gold future for June delivery was at $1,553.70 per ounce, up $1.30.

Brian Lan, managing director of GoldSilver Central Pte Ltd said if the statistics turns out to be strong tonight from the US,investors will look to the stock markets because it appears more attractive, Gold’s course will really depend on the data released tonight.

China being absent from the physical market this week for a Thursday and Friday holiday has added to the overall weakness in metals.

Metals consultancy GFMS said bullion is gearing up for the start of a bear market cycle in 2014 following more than a decade of gains as consumer demand for jewellery, bars and coins turn down and central bank buying plateaus.

Gold future for June delivery knock down $2 or 0.1%, to $1,550.40 per ounce during Asian morning trading hours.