Browsing all articles tagged with Germany
Jun
1

Record Unemployment Low Inflation Highlight Europe’s Pain

Unemployment has reached a new high in the euro zone and inflation remains well beneath the European Central Bank’s target, pacing pressure on EU leaders and the ECB for action to stimulate the bloc’s sickly economy.

Joblessness in the 17 nation currency area climbed to 12.2 percent in April, EU statistics office Eurostat stated on Friday spoting a new record since the data series began in 1995.

With the euro zone in its greatest recession since its creation in 1999, consumer price inflation was far lower the ECB’s target of just below 2 percent, coming in at 1.4 percent in May slightly higher then April’s 1.2 percent rate.

That augment may quieten concerns regarding deflation, however the deepening unemployment crisis is a threat to the social fabric of the euro zone. Almost two-thirds of young Greeks are not capable to find work exemplifying southern Europe’s lost generation.

Policymakers and economists including Germany’s finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble have stated the greatest menace to the unity of the euro zone is now social collapse from the crisis, rather than market-driven factors.

In France, Europe’s second biggest economy, the number of jobless rose to a record in April while in Italy the unemployment rate hit its highest level in at least 36 years, with 40 percent of young people out of work.

Thousands of demonstrators from the anti-capitalist Blockupy movement cut off access to the ECB in Frankfurt on Friday to protest against policymakers handling of Europe’s debt crisis.

Some economists suppose the ECB, which meets on June 6 will have to go beyond an additional interest rate cut and consider a US style money printing program to breathe life into the economy.

Nick Matthews, a senior economist at Nomura International in London said we do not expect a strong recovery in the euro zone. It puts pressure on the ECB to deliver even more conventional and non conventional measures.

May
18

French President Urges Euro Zone Government

Francois Hollande, French President called on Thursday for an economic government for the euro zone with its own budget the right to borrow a harmonized tax system and a full time president.

At a 150 minute news discussion marking his first year in office a day following economic statistics showed France had fall into recession, the Socialist leader defended his record on economic reform and budget regulation and informed the French people they would have to work a bit longer for a complete pension in future.

Rebutting criticism that France has lost its leadership role in Europe as of its dwindling economic competitiveness, Hollande thought he wanted to create a fully-fledged political European Union within two years.

Hollande said it is my responsibility as the leader of a founder member of the European Union to pull Europe out of this torpor that has gripped it and to reduce people’s disappointment with it.

He accepted that he could face resistance from Germany, Europe’s dominant power, which opposes mutualising debt between member states. Berlin is also reluctant to give the euro zone its own secretariat for fear of deepening division in the EU, among the 17 members of the single currency and the 10 others.

Non-euro Britain’s government previously faces growing domestic pressure to hold a referendum on leaving the bloc.

Hollande stated he wanted Britain to stay in the EU but added, he can understand that others don’t want to join the single currency, however they cannot stop the euro zone from advancing.

Hollande said a future euro zone economic government would debate the main economic and political decisions to be taken by member states, harmonize welfare policies and national fiscal and launch a battle against tax fraud.

He proposed bringing forward planned EU spending to combat record youth unemployment, pushing for an EU-wide transition to renewable energy sources and envisaged a budget capacity that would be decided to the euro zone along with the gradual likelihood of raising debt.

Apr
25

IMF, ECB Square off in Europe Severity Debate

An intense debate about Europe’s austerity drive flared back into life on Thursday with leading IMF and European Central Bank officials harshly at odds and Angela Merkel declaring that Germany required superior interest rates.

With the threat of the currency bloc’s break-up retreating; some euro zone officials are saying currently is the time to throttle back on debt cutting drives as calmer financial markets will not react badly.

The International Monetary Fund is also pushing that prescription for both the Britain and euro zone however Germany and the ECB are opposed.

IMF First Deputy Managing Director David Lipton told a conference in London that there is a risk that Europe could drop into stagnation, which would have very serious implications for households, banks, companies and other bedrock institutions.

He further said that to decisively avoid that dangerous downside, policymakers must act now to strengthen the prospects for growth.

However at the same conference, the Economist’s Bellwether Europe Summit, ECB Executive Board associate Joerg Asmussen urged governments to push on with budget consolidation and reforms.

Asmussen said delaying fiscal consolidation is not a simple way out. If it were, we would have taken it; holdup fiscal consolidation is no free lunch. It means superior debt levels and this has real costs in the euro area where public debts are already very high.

The ECB is expected to cut interest rates coming week, even though a quarter-point reduction is unlikely to lift the euro zone economy out of recession.

Lipton said it will perhaps require additional unconventional measures from the ECB, as Asmussen said monetary policy was not an all purpose weapon.

The ECB is in a difficult position, for Germany it would really have to lift rates slightly at the moment, however for other countries it would have to do even more for more liquidity to be made available, she said at a banking conference, in a strangely outspoken comment on central bank policy.

Apr
24

Gold Plunge on Stronger US Greenback, ETF outflows

Yellow metal knock down more than 1 percent on Tuesday as a stronger US dollar put pressure on prices and as the outflow from the world’s leading gold exchange-traded fund known as ETF accelerated and accentuated an investor shift towards equities and other assets.

At the midsession, bullion along with markets in stocks, oil, bonds and other commodities, was roiled temporarily by a bogus report of explosions at the White House. Bullion pulled up off its lows on the fake report.

The early turn down retraced some of gold’s 1.6 percent rally from a day earlier, which was encouraged by strong physical purchases.

Heraeus Precious Metals Management metals trader David Lee said that he believe the whole commodities space came off because of the weak PMI out of Europe and the weak PMI out of China, particularly Germany. That combination is dragging everything from silver to copper to platinum and palladium down. And yellow metal is going down in sympathy as it’s part of the basket.

Traders stated gold prices chop down to session lows in overnight dealings when the US dollar firmed in reaction to weaker April manufacturing statistics from both Germany and China, and then lingered at the lower levels.

Shortly following 1 p.m. (1700 GMT), precious metal prices pulled up off their lows, US government debt prices surged briefly and stocks knock down sharply following a false tweet from the Associated Press stated there had been two explosions at the White House and that President Barack Obama had been injured.

Gold knock down 1.4 percent to a session low of $1,405.44 per ounce and had pared losses to $1,412.70 by 3:14 EDT (1914 GMT), off 0.87 percent. Precious metal has dropped 15 percent this year.

US gold futures for June delivery were losing 0.61 percent at $1,412.30 per ounce.

Traders said gold’s retreat off the one week high it reached a day earlier reproduce investor nervousness regarding holding on to precious metal positions for long. Many yellow metal bulls were caught by surprise a week ago when bullion slid to its biggest-ever daily loss in Greenback terms.

Gold was also under pressure from a strong dollar and bounce back of equity markets following sales of new US single family homes climbed in March, indicating the housing market recovery remains on track.

Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said that bullion is lower as well as other commodities, including base metals oil and crude, which knock down following weaker than expected economic data out of China and Europe, which gave a boost to the dollar.

In other markets, copper knock down to an 18-month low and crude oil was down nearly 1 percent because data revealed a slowdown in business activity in Germany and China in April. The figures heightened worries over global growth.

Apr
20

G20 Urges EU to Complete Banking Union Fast, Germany Digs in Heels

World financial leaders support the European Union on Friday to rapidly complete its banking union to help growth, however Germany stood firm that the next step toward such a union be through a risky and lengthy process a change of EU law.

The banking union is one of the key projects to improve the economy of the 17 countries sharing the euro, it would assist eliminate many of the problems that now hold back the flow of credit needed to finance a euro zone economic recovery.

Finance ministers and central bankers from the G20 leading economies said in a statement that the euro area the foundations of monetary and economic union should be enhanced, including through an urgent movement towards banking union.

The EU has previously made the first step it agreed that the European Central Bank would take over the administration of all banks in the euro zone from July 2014 in what is called the Single Supervisory Mechanism.

The next step is to agree how the euro zone will deal with closing down failed banks and how it will pay for that in the provisional period before enough fees from the financial industry accrue to cover the potential expense.

The idea is to use the euro zone bailout fund, the European constancy Mechanism to provide the necessary money for resolving failed banks in that era, however that means the use of euro zone taxpayers money.

The German government, which faces elections in September, consider that without a treaty change the potential use of German taxpayer money for winding down a bank in another euro zone state could give grounds to query it in the German constitutional court.

Wolfgang Schaeuble, German Finance Minister told reporters earlier on Friday that the German government is willing to change the treaties, the sooner, the better.

He said we should do what is necessary appropriately, one must have the strength to do so. The German government is strongly determined to go this way, there was a prospect the changes could be introduced through a simplified procedure to speed the process.

Apr
13

Euro zone finance ministers Back 10 billion Euro Cyprus Bailout

Euro zone finance ministers backed a 10 billion euro bailout for Cyprus on Friday and the European Commission stated it would try to assist the island’s economy grow again with enhanced use of EU structural funds.

The ministerial support opens the way for numerous euro zone countries, including Finland and Germany to seek approval for the three year bailout in national parliaments, so that loan agreement with Nicosia can be signed by April 24.

The first tranche of the credit 9 billion of which will come from the euro zone and 1 billion from the International Monetary Fund will flow to Nicosia in mid-May.

The euro zone loans will have an average maturity of 15 years and highest maturity of 20 years.

The euro zone ministers said in a statement, The Euro group consider that the necessary elements are now in place to launch the relevant national procedures required for the formal support of the ESM financial assistance capability agreement for an amount of up to 10 billion euro’s, subject to IMF’s contribution.

To wrap its financing requirements over three years, Cyprus itself will have to come up with 13 billion euro’s of its own, with the mass of that sum coming from the closure of its Laiki bank and the reform of the Bank of Cyprus.

Olli Rehn told a news in conference that the amount that Cyprus would require to contribute on its own had been estimated a month ago at about 7 billion however the two sums were not directly alike, EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner.

If you seem at these two figures of 17 billion and the 23 billion for program financing, they are not strictly comparable as the construction of the first and second, or final package are different.

Mar
16

Italy and France See Leeway on Budget Rules At EU Conference

Italy and France won support for a somewhat further growth friendly explanation of European Union budget rules at a meeting on Thursday following French President Francois Hollande challenged German driven fiscal austerity.

The 27 EU leaders agreed following discussion how to overcome recession and mass unemployment unleashed by three years of the euro zone’s sovereign debt crisis, to allow superior scope for public investment when reducing government deficits.

The potential’s presented by the EU’s existing fiscal framework to balance productive public investment requirements with fiscal discipline objectives can be exploited in the defensive arm of the Growth and Stability.

Exceptions would have to be permitted by the euro zone states and executive European Commission, however Italy’s and Hollande Europe minister drew support from what they depicted as a concession.

The Socialist French leader said that they were summiting their deficit reduction commitments however in a way that does not challenge our objective of growth.

He further said that’s the discussion that is now going to start with the Commission and the leadership we were given today permit us to approach this discussion with confidence.

Germany, the leading stickler for fiscal regulation, is worried that any straying from the course of deficit reduction will lift debt burdens and reignite financial market turmoil.

However Chancellor Angela Merkel avoided any clash with France, they made clear in a very consensual conversation that structural reforms, budget consolidation and growth are not in contradiction however are mutually reinforcing.

Hollande recognized this week that France’s budget deficit would strike 3.7 percent of GDP this year, omitted the 3 percent it had promised EU partners because of flat economy. That illustrate criticism from Germany’s central bank chief who stated French economic restructuring seemed to have floundered.

Mar
15

Gold Hang On About $1,590, US job Statistics Weighs

Yellow metal float at $1,590 per ounce on Friday, following positive US labour market statistics added to indication of an economic recovery that would make safe haven assets like precious metal less attractive.

The number of Americans heading new claims for unemployment benefits knock down for a third straight week previous week, the latest signal the labour market recovery was rising grip.

Barclays lowered its 2013 and 2014 price predicts for on Thursday in a memo, saying downside risks to the yellow metal position have increased, as the benefit catalysts have retreated.

Commissioner Scott O’Malia said on Thursday that the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has engaged in a couple of dialogues regarding whether the daily setting of silver and gold prices in London is open to manipulation.

Germany’s economy will gradually recover ground lost at the end of 2012 and develop 0.6 percent this year thanks to higher investments on the back of low interest rates.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold backed exchange traded fund had plunged 3.432 tonnes so far this week on course for an eleventh week of turn down, while holdings were unaffected at 1,236.307 tonnes from a day earlier on March 14.

Spot gold traded nearly on a flat rate at $1,589.61 per ounce by 0016 GMT, on course for a second week of modest addition.

US gold knock down 0.1 percent to $1,588.70 per ounce.

With sustained confidence in the US economy and a lack of obvious concern for the global economy in general, precious metal is struggling to find a justification for price strength.

Gold future for April delivery tacked on $2.30, or 0.1%, to settle at $1,590.70 per ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, following tapping a low of $1,575.20 per ounce.

Mar
14

Gold Holds Below $1,590 Per Ounce Following Upbeat US Statistics

Yellow metal firmed beneath $1,590 per early on Thursday following sliding in the earlier session when optimistic US retail sales strengthened the position for the world’s top economy and damaged gold’s safe haven appeal.

US retail sales extended at their best pace in five months in February, the newest signal of momentum for an economy facing headwinds from higher taxes and pricier gasoline however production at factories in the euro zone knock down more than expected at the start of 2013 and fabrication in Germany and France fall in the latest sign the bloc is struggling to come out from recession.

The head of the People’s Bank of China said that China must stabilize inflation outlook, , undertake to carefully manage the risks of increasing prices as the central bank’s first priority as also vowed additional capital market reforms.

The Shanghai Gold Exchange will launch over the counter trading for precious metal forward agreement on March 25 as the bourse appear to expand its offerings and boost trading volumes.

Spot gold float at $1,588.55 per ounce by 0020 GMT. Indications that the global economy lead by current positive statistics from the US is on a enhanced footing this year has driven investors away from precious metal, with spot prices losing 5 percent this year.

US gold was similarly stable at $1,587.60 per ounce in early deals.

Gold futures traded with a modest loss on Wednesday following a failed effort to break $1,600 per ounce, stress by the dollar’s addition to a seven month high following statistics demonstrate a rushed in February US retail sales.

Gold futures for April delivery knock down $3.30 or 0.2%, to settle at $1,588.40 per ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. It had rise to as high as $1,598.80 per ounce during the session.

Mar
9

Christine Lagarde Said ECB should Cut Rates, Allow Higher Inflation

The head of the International Monetary Fund said on Friday that the euro zone may require superior inflation in countries like Germany and lower interest rates across the federation to make sure a persistent economic recovery fetch obvious benefits.

Christine Lagarde said as Europe had come a extensive way since previous summer and financial concerns have eased somewhat, further needed to be done to deal with harmfully known underlying issues.

Repeated a call in January for the ECB to keep its monetary policy easy, the ex- French finance minister stated there was scope for a further cut following Frankfurt kept rates at 0.75 percent this week.

Monetary policy should stay accommodative, and they believe that there is still some partial scope for the ECB to cut additional rates, Lagarde stated in comments prepared for a speech delivered in front of an audience that integrated Ireland’s representative on the ECB governing council.

Re-establish a logic of balance means lower inflation and wage growth in the south of the euro zone, however it also might mean permitted somewhat wage growth and higher inflation in countries like Germany, this too is an part of pan European harmony.

Lagarde has recommend countries to press forward with reform and fiscal promises, the swiftness of such modifications was crucial and the right balance was needed among placing the books in order and supporting the recovery.

The IMF chief said European leaders may required to focus less on headline deficit reduction targets to avoid damage economic growth and assist their recession hit people as well as looking for to reassure financial markets.