Browsing all articles tagged with technical
May
11

Precious Metal Fall 1.5 percent on US Dollar Gain, Posts Weekly Plunge

Yellow metal knock down almost 1.5 percent on Friday as a sharp increased in the US dollar against the Japanese yen triggered technical selling, sending the metal to a two-week low.

Bullion slip for a second consecutive day as the yen plummeted to its weakest against the US dollar in more than four years on Friday, a day following the US currency climbed above the 100-yen level. The US dollar rally also weighed on industrial commodities led by crude.

Gold posted a weekly fall of almost 2.5 percent as continued outflows in gold-backed exchange-traded funds more than offset strong physical retail demand following yellow metal’s historic selloff in mid-April.

Precious metal’s sharp losses previous month has intensified a disconnect among funds that sold on dissatisfaction over gold’s under performance and individual investors who could not get sufficient physical gold coins and bars at bargain prices.

Miguel Perez-Santalla, vice president of BullionVault, an online physical gold and silver market it’s all about the greenback strength, that’s where all the fast money is going. He said, I believe this is another opportunity for physical buyers.

Spot gold knocks down as much as 2.5 percent to a low of $1,420.60 per ounce earlier in the session. It was down 1.3 percent at $1,438.51 per ounce by 2:28 p.m. (1828 GMT)

US Comex division gold futures for June delivery settled down $32 at $1,436.60 per ounce, with trading volume almost 10 percent over its 30-day average.

Carlos Sanchez, director of commodities and asset management at CPM Group said yellow metal accelerated losses following sell-stops were triggered below technical support at $1,450 per ounce.

Gold’s failure to break above a $40 trading range in the precedent two weeks suggested sentiment remains weak following the metal plunged to $1,321.35 an ounce on April 16, its lowest in more than two years.

Apr
22

Precious Gold Ralled More Than 2 Percent on Technical Buying

Precious metal jumped more than 2 percent on Monday following a rebound over $1,400 ignited technical buying, however sentiment was wobbly as steady outflows from exchange traded funds trimmed their gold holdings to the lowest in three years.

Edward Meir, metals analyst at futures brokerage INTL FCStone said that it remains to be seen which of these offsetting forces ultimately wins out and exerts its influence over yellow metal prices.

The technical stance for gold, which has sink more than 15 percent so far this year, is yet to recover although the safe haven asset could find support from a rush in physical buying in Asia and other parts of the world.

Our guess is that the sharp bounce in retail buying will probably dominate and succeed in sending prices higher over the course of the coming week or two.

It posted its largest ever daily loss in US dollar terms previous Monday, shocking veteran investors who see bullion as portfolio protection against inflation and other market risks. Prices sank to almost $1,321 on April 16, its weakest in more than 2 years.

Spot gold added $16.21 per ounce to $1,420.06 by 0631 GMT following increasing as high as $1,427.20 per ounce.

Tim Riddell, head of ANZ Global Markets Research, Asia  said that the aggressiveness of the drop suggests that we are still in a consolidation rather in a reversal role. For me the $1,435 level is likely to provide resistance.

We actually need to get back into the $1,500s to say that there’s something more substantial taking place. The close over $1,400 may have taken the negative pressure out of percious metal in the near term. A close below that level will heighten the risks of new lows

Outflows on exchange traded funds could also point out that investors were parking their money somewhere else, although previous week’s trading statistics from the Unites States demonstrate that funds had injected new money into gold futures.

Gold had rallied to an 11-month high in October previous year following the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus, lifting fears the central bank’s money printing to buy assets would stoke inflation.

Hedge funds and money managers elevated their net longs in gold futures and options in the week to April 16, a report by Commodity Futures Trading Commission known as CFTC showed on Friday, because new money entered the market at lower prices.

 

US gold futures, which frequently dictate the spot market, strike a high of 1,427.3 per ounce climbed 2.3 percent from the previous close of 1,395.60 per ounce. The June delivery later stood at $1,419.80 added $24.20.

Apr
19

Gold jumps More Than 2 Percent, Still down for the Week

Yellow metal rallied more than 2 percent on Friday as its bounce back to  $1,400 per ounce spurred technical buying, however bullion was still heading for a fourth week of losses following a brutal sell-off shattered investors confidence.

Precious metal has been caught in a tug of war among physical buyers seeking bargains and wary investors cutting exposure to the gold on nagging worries about central bank sales and forecast of easing inflation.

Gold strike a session low about $1,385 before gaining strength to $1,414.30 by 0715 GMT, up $23.55. Dealers also noted physical buying, even though prices had added more than $100 since striking a 2-year trough earlier this week.

Physical dealer in Singapore, Prices have suddenly jumped however I guess it’s as gold has broken the $1,400-level again. Technically, people are just buying up again.

Physical buying from Thailand is not that strong. We are considering demand from Indonesia and local buyers and also modest from India.

Bullion investors are waiting for the 1930 GMT release of US CFTC statistics showing the newest trading by hedge fund and money managers for more cues.

The plunge in prices ignited a spate of buying in gold coins, bars and nuggets, sending premiums for precious metal bars to multi month highs in Asia. Buying also enhanced in top consumer India following a lackluster start.

This gives us some confidence that as panic selling passes, prices can rebound by $100 to $150 an ounce and trade in the $1,400 to $1,550 range over the next 3 to 6 months.

US gold futures for June delivery also staged a humble rally, standing at $1,414.30 per ounce climbed $21.80.

Selling on COMEX, blamed on the outflows on gold backed ETFs was accountable for a rout in the cash market. Spot gold recorded its largest ever daily drop in dollar terms on Monday, catching gold bulls, veteran and speculators investors by surprise.

Holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold backed ETF, are at their weakest in three years and there was also assumption hedge fund manager John Paulson a prominent gold bull might have liquidated his enormous gold stake.

Apr
13

Gold Drop into bear market on institutional Migration

Yellow metal sank more than 5 percent on Friday, entering bear market territory as institutional investors fled gold in favor of other safe-haven assets amid concerns regarding central bank sales and souring sentiment.

The span of the sell off will underscore some expectations that gold’s meteoric rally may end following 12 years of gains.

Robin Bhar, Societe General analyst stated the scale of the turn down has been absolutely breathtaking, they tried to rally and that just did not get anywhere, there has not been any downside support it’s like a knife through butter.

Selling became heavy following an unexpected contraction in US retail sales statistics, which hurt stocks and supported the US dollar. It increased to pressures that were building this week from numerous factors, including a draft plan for Cyprus to sell gold and outflows from exchange traded yellow metal funds.

The precious metal slide below $1,500 per ounce for the first time since July, 2011. Yellow metal posted its largest weekly decline since December, 2011.

The speed of the sell-off appeared tied to instability in the price of Japanese government bonds, which has forced certain holders to sell other assets to meet the risk modeling of their investment portfolios.

The spot price of gold strike a low of $1,476 per ounce, down 5.3 percent on the day. For the week, it showed a turn down of more than 6 percent, in its largest weekly drop since December 2011, bonds rallied on Friday.

Geoffrey Fila, associate portfolio manager at Galtere Ltd, commodities focused hedge fund in New York with almost $600 million under management. Could it retest $1,300 or $1,200 on a short term technical basis? Absolutely yes.

Losses in precious metal accelerated and trading volumes ballooned following prices fell through key support at $1,521 per ounce. The market is down some 23 percent below a record peak of $1,920.30 strike in September 2011. Investors define a bear market as a turn down of 20 percent or more from a market high.

US gold futures also strike their lowest since July 2011, with metal for June delivery declining to as low as $1,476 per ounce by 5:20 p.m. EDT (2150 GMT). It settled at $1,501.40, losing 4.1 percent.

Jan
9

USD/CHF D1 Technical January 9

USD/CHF is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9250 and 0.9306.  Spot rate reached near the upper limit of its intermediate term bullish channel at 0.9265. The Swiss is expected to go up-wards following the structure which look corrective, indicating the bullish opportunity below the 0.9290 level. Spot rate is currently around the price of 0.9265. Buy deals are recommended below 0.9290 with the first target seen at the 0.9275 and then 0.9285 levels respectively.

Oct
12

AUD/USD D1 Technical October 12

Today AUD/USD has support at 1.0215 and resistance at 1.0290. The price actions on these levels are important to watch. A break through 1.0290 will allow Aussies to target 1.0330-50.
High impact News can change the trend of AUD/USD. .News like PPI m/m and prelim UOM Consumer Sentiment.

Sep
7

USD/JPY D1 Technical September 7

USD/JPY pair close making spike triggering the risky trade, the cable is trading at 78.98, technically the cable should test the 79.40 level from which it should sell down and resume its bearish trend. so we recommend sell deals as soon as the cable reaches the 79.40 level, we also have to notice the data relating Non-farm payrolls which can affect the rate of pair.

 

Aug
23

EUR/USD D1 Technical August 23

The EUR/USD rises due to the data that was published by the Federal Reserve, which made the impression that many of the members are more than willing to arbitrate and ease monetary policy if theU.S.economy does not recover soon. At the technical level, we note that secondary downtrend line is intact and there may be a correction of the pair to the support from. Line B, but we recommend buying till 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement of the fall from (1.3180—1.2036).

Jul
5

USD/CAD D1 Technical July 5

USD/CAD retreated but recovery is so far very weak. And with 1.0201 resistance intact, Technical Indicators remains on the downside for 100% projection of 1.0445 to 1.0159 from 1.0362 at 1.0045. But we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9799 to 1.0445 at 1.0046 to bring rebound.

Jun
13

GBP/USD D1 Technical June 13

On daily chart Gbp/usd continues to trade in tense range below 1.5599 and intraday bias is neutral for the moment. Though, a break of 1.5599 will likely bring another rise towards 61.8% retracement of 1.6300 to 1.5268 at 1.5659 and closing above 1.5659 will confirm the target of 1.5903 which is 61.8 of fibonacci retracement and bring fall resumption again.